3
Kirikou Des Mers
6yo Gelding · 10-5
Auteuil · Prix De Compiegne Hurdle - Grade 3 · 2m 3f 85y
#5
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.2
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | 1 | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/04/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 18/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/10/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 05/11/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 02/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |