4
Kyrov
8yo Gelding · 10-5 · OR 162
Auteuil · Prix De Compiegne Hurdle - Grade 3 · 2m 3f 85y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | −0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | 3 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-02-23 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 28/12/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 18/01/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 23/02/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 11/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 93% | +0.38 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |