5
Balmoral
8yo Gelding · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix Le Paillon Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-01 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 03/03/2024 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 05/04/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 26/04/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 18/05/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 65% | +0.49 |
| 31/05/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 19/06/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 01/07/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |