10

Imperium

8yo Gelding · 10-11

Auteuil · Prix Le Paillon Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y

#5

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Auteuil 26/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 15126/04C?C0 @ Auteuil 18/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 153C0 @ Vittel 07/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m4f193y GS 1557/07C?C0 @ Strasbourg 22/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 150C0 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 1548/05C?3 @ Strasbourg 16/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f196y GS 152C0 @ Vittel 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m2f195y Gd 1506/07C?C0 @ Vittel 11/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m2f195y Gd 144C0 @ Vittel 24/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m2f195y GS 14624/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Vittel?5th5th0
2026-08-11Vittel?3rd3rd0
2026-07-06Vittel?3rd3rd0
2026-06-16Strasbourg37th7th0
2026-05-17Auteuil?0
2026-05-08Strasbourg?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0422/036/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20254th66/10%82%+0.82
18/05/202510th10/147%47%-0.00
07/07/20255th5/174%43%-0.31
22/03/20262nd28/10%91%+0.91
08/05/20265th11/271%67%-0.04
16/06/20267th11/142%33%-0.09
06/07/20263rd13/266%75%+0.09
11/08/20263rd7/163%71%+0.08
24/08/20265th4/179%33%-0.46