15
Jack Des Mottes
7yo Gelding · 10-4
Auteuil · Prix Le Paillon Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#12
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-07-03 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2022-10-09 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2022-09-16 | Nantes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +23.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2022 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 09/10/2022 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 03/07/2024 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/06/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |