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13

Kabriole De Sivola

6yo Mare · 10-5

Auteuil · Prix Le Paillon Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ ParisLongchamp 05/09/2024 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1385/09C?3 @ Moulins 09/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m2f195y Hvy 1459/053C8 @ Nancy 05/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 1545/06C8C0 @ Aix-Les-Bains 26/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 14326/06C?3 @ Aix-Les-Bains 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 14514/0734 @ Vittel 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m2f195y Gd 14527/074projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-11Vittel?0
2026-07-27Vittel43rd3rd0
2026-07-14Aix-Les-Bains33rd3rd0
2026-06-26Aix-Les-Bains?6th6th0
2026-06-05Nancy?7th7th0
2026-05-09Moulins39th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/099/055/0626/0614/0727/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%

Delivery trend +11.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/202412th28/10%15%+0.15
09/05/20269th40/10%20%+0.20
05/06/20267th20/10%33%+0.33
26/06/20266th28/10%44%+0.44
14/07/20263rd28/10%60%+0.60
27/07/20263rd20/10%71%+0.71