6

King Lane

5yo Gelding · 10-13

Auteuil · Prix Le Paillon Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y

#13

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 02/11/2024 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 1502/11C?C0 @ Auteuil 23/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 145C0 @ Fontainebleau 09/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f142y Ver 1459/12C?C0 @ Auteuil 01/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 155C0 @ Auteuil 22/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 13622/03C?C0 @ Auteuil 09/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 152C0 @ Auteuil 30/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 15330/05C?C0 @ Auteuil 08/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 1538/09C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Auteuil?8th8th0
2026-05-30Auteuil?9th9th0
2026-04-09Auteuil?8th8th0
2026-03-22Auteuil?8th8th0
2026-03-01Auteuil?3rd3rd0
2025-12-09Fontainebleau?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/111/0330/058/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength56%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/11/202414th6/168%7%-0.61
23/11/20254th16/116%77%+0.61
09/12/20259th9/276%11%-0.65
01/03/20263rd13/266%86%+0.20
22/03/20268th7/163%42%-0.21
09/04/20268th7/163%59%-0.04
30/05/20269th10/147%38%-0.09
08/09/20268th8/158%50%-0.08