11
Lady Palma
5yo Filly · 10-11
Auteuil · Prix Le Paillon Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#15
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-26 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 08/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 17/12/2025 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 58% | -0.34 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 33% | -0.60 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |