1
Martin Guerre
6yo Gelding · 11-4
Auteuil · Prix Le Paillon Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-24 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-19 | Fontainebleau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-01-19 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-12-31 | Pau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -12.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2024 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/01/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 19/02/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 02/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 24/03/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |