14

Shinco Du Ficheau

6yo Gelding · 10-4

Auteuil · Prix Le Paillon Handicap Hurdle · 2m 3f 85y

#8

Rank

Odds

55/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Auteuil 30/10/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 14630/10C?C0 @ Auteuil 24/11/2024 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR - · 2m3f85y Hvy 143C8 @ Pau 29/12/2024 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 2m2f86y Std 15429/12C8C0 @ Auteuil 26/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 150C0 @ Auteuil 31/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 15231/05C?C0 @ Auteuil 16/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 2m5f82y Sft 152C8 @ Auteuil 06/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 1476/05C8C0 @ Auteuil 17/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 147C0 @ Auteuil 30/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 14230/05C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Auteuil?0
2026-05-30Auteuil?11th11th0
2026-05-17Auteuil?3rd3rd0
2026-05-06Auteuil?5th5th0
2025-11-29Auteuil?0
2025-11-16Auteuil?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1026/046/0530/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/20247th28/10%50%+0.50
24/11/20249th28/10%50%+0.50
29/12/20248th15/261%46%-0.14
26/04/20253rd12/137%88%+0.51
31/05/20259th9/276%20%-0.56
16/11/20257th40/10%54%+0.54
06/05/20265th33/10%60%+0.60
17/05/20263rd28/10%88%+0.88
30/05/202611th16/116%23%+0.07