8
Benou
7yo Gelding · 10-3
Auteuil · Prix Violon II Listed Handicap Chase · 2m 5f 191y
#12
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.1
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Chateaubriant | 3 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | 1 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Lignieres | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Pau | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |
| 17/05/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 23/09/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 23/10/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |