9
Jolimay
7yo Gelding · 10-3
Auteuil · Prix Violon II Listed Handicap Chase · 2m 5f 191y
#9
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.8
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2023-12-02 | Auteuil | ? | +0 | ||
| 2023-11-11 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength40%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/2023 | 3rd | 13/1 | 32% | 80% | +0.48 |
| 10/04/2023 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 77% | +0.03 |
| 21/05/2023 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 03/10/2023 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 11/11/2023 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/09/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 16/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/03/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |