12
Kako
6yo Gelding · 10-1
Auteuil · Prix Violon II Listed Handicap Chase · 2m 5f 191y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | ? | −3 | ||
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Clairefontaine | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2024 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 36% | -0.22 |
| 11/11/2024 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 46% | +0.41 |
| 25/02/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 11/03/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 24/03/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 27/07/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |