14
Kalibre
6yo Gelding · 10-0
Auteuil · Prix Violon II Listed Handicap Chase · 2m 5f 191y
#15
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2025-12-31 | Pau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-29 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-23 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-23 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 12th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2025 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 15/03/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 03/05/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 17/05/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 31/05/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 09/09/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/09/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 42% | -0.14 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |