15
Lady Lady Lay
5yo Filly · 10-0
Auteuil · Prix Violon II Listed Handicap Chase · 2m 5f 191y
#1
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
85%
Place Prob
62%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | 3 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-01-16 | Pau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-29 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Compiegne | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-07-12 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength10%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2024 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 23/05/2024 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 88% | +0.05 |
| 29/05/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |