7

Master Nonantais
8yo Gelding · 10-4
Auteuil · Prix Violon II Listed Handicap Chase · 2m 5f 191y
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-08 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-07 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-10-24 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2024-09-24 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2024-08-19 | Clairefontaine | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
| 2024-06-23 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength6%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2024 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 47% | +0.05 |
| 02/05/2024 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 56% | -0.27 |
| 23/05/2024 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 23/06/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 19/08/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 24/09/2024 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 82% | -0.06 |
| 24/10/2024 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.00 |
| 07/04/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 08/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |