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9

Zarak Crown

2yo Colt · 9-7

Ayr · Almins Vantage/Lallemand Magniva Classic EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

From a Group-winning French family. Bound to improve for his 7 lengths fourth of 9 on racecourse bow at Haydock (1m, good to soft), when not given anything like a hard time. Looks up to winning a maiden/novice, though may need Bassrah to underperform on this occasion.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f212y Sft 1283/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Haydock34th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20264th16/116%63%+0.47