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Krissy

5yo Mare · 9-8 · OR 75

Ayr · British Stallion Studs Scottish Premier Series EBF Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Forward-going type. Held on gamely to notch her fourth win of the season at Musselburgh (9f) in June. Back on song when narrowly pipped by a thriving filly at Hamilton (9f) last time. May fall short off 2 lb higher, though, even if able to dictate.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 59 · 1m3f15y Gd 122 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 59 par17/054OR 596 @ Musselburgh 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 59 · 1m208y Gd 134 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Carlisle 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 59 · 1m1f Goo 137 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 59 par29/056OR 594 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 70 · 7f218y Goo 127 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Ripon 17/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 70 · 1m1f170y Gd 142 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 70 par17/065OR 705 @ Musselburgh 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 70 · 1m208y Gd 137 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Carlisle 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m1f Goo 147 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 73 par4/075OR 735 @ Ayr 20/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m GF 133 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Hamilton 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 73 · 1m1f35y GS 136 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 73 par21/084OR 73projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Hamilton42nd2nd0
2026-07-20Ayr59th10th−1
2026-07-04Carlisle54th5th−1
2026-06-22Musselburgh51st2nd−1
2026-06-17Ripon56th7th−1
2026-05-31Thirsk410th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0531/054/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/05/20262nd10/382%89%+0.06
21/05/20261st1/398%100%+0.02
29/05/20261st1/297%100%+0.03
31/05/202610th11/271%10%-0.61
17/06/20266th7/491%29%-0.62
22/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
04/07/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
20/07/20269th13/266%0%-0.66
21/08/20262nd18/15%88%+0.82