4

Thankfully

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 75

Ayr · British Stallion Studs Scottish Premier Series EBF Fillies' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole success came in a Beverley maiden (8.5f) on return. Now steps up further in trip having again made no impact off her falling mark at Hamilton (9f) last time. Remains a risky betting proposition given slow-starting ways.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength38%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 8.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Sandown 30/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/0824 @ Newbury 25/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m1y Sft 1284 @ Beverley 15/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m100y Goo 12715/0444 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 82 · 7f218y Goo 127 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 82 par2 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 29th of 30 · OR 82 · 1m GF 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 82 par19/062OR 824 @ Chester 11/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 80 · 7f127y Goo 128 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ York 25/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 79 · 7f Goo 134 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 79 par25/074OR 794 @ Hamilton 21/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m1f35y GS 133 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 77 par21/084OR 77projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Hamilton47th7th0
2026-07-25York49th9th0
2026-07-11Chester48th8th0
2026-06-19Royal Ascot229th27th+2
2026-05-31Thirsk45th5th0
2026-04-15Beverley41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0831/0525/0721/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength17%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20253rd7/282%67%-0.15
25/10/20255th5/696%43%-0.53
15/04/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
31/05/20265th5/174%60%-0.14
19/06/202629th100/10%3%+0.03
11/07/20268th11/142%13%-0.30
25/07/20269th25/10%27%+0.27
21/08/20267th16/116%25%+0.09