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8

Galyx

5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 85

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Bet 5 Get 30 New Customer Offer' Kilkerran Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f

#6

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ridden more positively when enhancing his record on heavy ground to 3-3 at Beverley last time, only kept up to his work to see off Impartiality by 3 lengths. Still relatively lightly raced for a 5-y-o, though may need plenty of rainfall to defy a mark that has previously proven beyond him.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newbury 20/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 83 · 1m2f Sft 133 · beat its mark20/09/2024 · OR 83 par20/094OR 833 @ Leicester 08/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 82 · 1m2f Hvy 128 · beat its mark08/10/2024 · OR 82 par2 @ Goodwood 03/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 87 · 1m1f197y Goo 125 · beat its mark03/05/2025 · OR 87 par3/052OR 872 @ Haydock 31/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 87 · 1m3f175y Gd 120 · beat its mark31/05/2025 · OR 87 par4 @ Carlisle 25/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 86 · 1m3f39y Sft 143 · beat its mark25/06/2025 · OR 86 par25/064OR 864 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR 85 · 1m3f188y Gd 135 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 85 par3 @ Sandown 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 83 · 1m1f209y Gd 128 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 83 par12/063OR 833 @ Hamilton 11/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 82 · 1m1f35y Goo 135 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 82 par3 @ Beverley 30/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 80 · 1m1f207y Hvy 132 · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 80 par30/083OR 80projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Beverley31st2nd−1
2026-08-11Hamilton36th7th−1
2026-06-12Sandown34th5th−1
2026-05-13York413th15th−2
2025-06-25Carlisle43rd5th−2
2025-05-31Haydock27th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0931/0512/0630/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength83%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/20244th5/287%67%-0.20
08/10/20241st5/174%100%+0.26
03/05/20259th17/255%20%-0.35
31/05/20257th17/255%54%-0.01
25/06/20253rd9/488%75%-0.13
13/05/202613th9/276%25%-0.51
12/06/20264th9/153%77%+0.24
11/08/20266th9/276%58%-0.18
30/08/20261st5/287%100%+0.13