Glittering Surf
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 92
Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Bet 5 Get 30 New Customer Offer' Kilkerran Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Kempton | 1 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Ascot | 1 | 7th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-05-16 | York | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Kempton | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-12-18 | Kempton | 5 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -15.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2024 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 29/03/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 16/05/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 26/07/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 28/03/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |