Cisco Disco
8yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 68
Ayr · IDP Supporting Care Through Better Purchasing Handicap (Div 1) · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Ayr | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ayr | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Ayr | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Ayr | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Ayr | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-10-09 | Ayr | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 19/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 30/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 05/07/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |