They All Know Me
4yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 73
Ayr · IDP Supporting Care Through Better Purchasing Handicap (Div 2) · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Carlisle | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Musselburgh | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 12/01/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 06/02/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 30% | -0.25 |
| 12/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 14/06/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 36% | -0.35 |
| 26/06/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 31% | -0.22 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |