6
Upper East
3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 75
Ayr · IDP Supporting Care Through Better Purchasing Handicap (Div 2) · 1m
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength66%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Hamilton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sandown | 2 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-05 | Doncaster | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -15.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 25% | +0.20 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 11/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |