Cavallo Pazzo
7yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 57
Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Get Racing Bet Builder Winnings Boosts' Handicap · 7f 50y
#13
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-09 | Ayr | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Ayr | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-10 | Catterick | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-04-28 | Ayr | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2024-11-05 | Redcar | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2024-09-30 | Hamilton | 3 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2023 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 52% | -0.06 |
| 20/07/2024 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/08/2024 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/09/2024 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/11/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 28/04/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 10/06/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/09/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 09/10/2025 | 6th | 16/5 | 83% | 55% | -0.29 |