5

Dacres Cross

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 63

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Get Racing Bet Builder Winnings Boosts' Handicap · 7f 50y

#11

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair 6f juvenile winner who stepped up markedly on his reappearance when fourth in 20-runner York handicap over this trip in May. Unable to replicate that confined to 2 starts since but return to 7f looks a good move now taking on his elders for the first time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ York 12/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 70 · 6f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 70 par12/074OR 704 @ Carlisle 12/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 70 · 5f182y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2025 · OR 70 par2 @ York 20/08/2025 · Pos 17th of 19 · OR 70 · 6f Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2025 · OR 70 par20/082OR 704 @ Doncaster 12/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 74 · 6f2y Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2025 · OR 74 par5 @ Pontefract 06/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 73 · 6f Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 73 par6/105OR 734 @ Wetherby 26/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 72 · 7f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 20 · OR 70 · 7f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 70 par23/054OR 705 @ Catterick 08/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 68 · 7f6y GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Southwell 31/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 65 · 1m13y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 65 par31/085OR 65projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Southwell59th8th+1
2026-07-08Catterick55th4th+1
2026-05-23York44th2nd+2
2026-04-26Wetherby411th9th+2
2025-10-06Pontefract56th5th+1
2025-09-12Doncaster47th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0712/0923/0531/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength17%

Delivery trend -3.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20253rd17/255%67%+0.11
12/08/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
20/08/202517th33/10%11%+0.11
12/09/20257th80/10%57%+0.57
06/10/20256th9/276%44%-0.32
26/04/202611th18/15%0%-0.05
23/05/20264th80/10%84%+0.84
08/07/20265th4/179%50%-0.29
31/08/20269th11/142%11%-0.31