4

Ey Up Its Jazz

7yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 61

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Get Racing Bet Builder Winnings Boosts' Handicap · 7f 50y

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Very effective on soft ground, winning over 1m here across a largely positive 2025. Showed the benefit of a recent run when sixth of 22 at Doncaster (1m, good to soft) in March prior to disappointing in 2 starts on all-weather/turf in May. Bounce back not ruled out following a break, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Doncaster 24/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 65 · 7f213y Goo 135 · beat its mark24/07/2025 · OR 65 par24/076OR 655 @ Thirsk 15/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 64 · 7f Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/09/2025 · OR 64 par5 @ Hamilton 29/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 67 · 1m68y Sft 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 67 par29/095OR 675 @ Ayr 09/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 67 · 7f50y Hvy 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 67 par4 @ Doncaster 25/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 68 · 7f6y Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 68 par25/104OR 685 @ Newcastle 06/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 68 · 7f14y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Doncaster 29/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 22 · OR 67 · 1m GS 155 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 67 par29/035OR 674 @ Newcastle 01/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 66 · 7f14y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Thirsk 16/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 64 · 7f218y Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 64 par16/055OR 64projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Thirsk512th11th+1
2026-05-01Newcastle48th6th+2
2026-03-29Doncaster56th5th+1
2026-03-06Newcastle58th7th+1
2025-10-25Doncaster411th9th+2
2025-10-09Ayr52nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/079/1029/0316/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength13%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20254th4/179%63%-0.16
15/09/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
29/09/20252nd9/153%88%+0.35
09/10/20252nd3/184%86%+0.02
25/10/202511th10/147%29%-0.19
06/03/20268th33/10%0%0.00
29/03/20266th16/116%76%+0.60
01/05/20268th40/10%0%0.00
16/05/202612th28/10%0%0.00