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3

Jet Warrior

4yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 63

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Get Racing Bet Builder Winnings Boosts' Handicap · 7f 50y

#10

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual 6f winner in May who remained consistent in defeat thereafter for Ben Haslam. Changed hands for 14,000 gns in July but ran below best in first-time visor when eleventh of 18 in handicap at York (7f) later that month. Cheekpieces go back on and this is less demanding.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength76%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 14/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 13414/11C84 @ Newcastle 19/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 7f14y Std 142 · HIGHER CLASS6 @ Thirsk 18/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR 54 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 54 par18/046OR 546 @ Southwell 07/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 54 · 7f14y Std 134 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Ayr 20/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 54 · 6f GF 129 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 54 par20/056OR 546 @ Ripon 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 54 · 6f Goo 140 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Carlisle 09/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 64 · 5f182y Goo 155 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 64 par9/066OR 645 @ Hamilton 10/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 64 · 6f6y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 64 par4 @ York 24/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 64 · 7f Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 64 par24/074OR 64projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24York411th9th+2
2026-06-10Hamilton54th3rd+1
2026-06-09Carlisle63rd3rd0
2026-05-28Ripon61st1st0
2026-05-20Ayr61st1st0
2026-05-07Southwell63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/117/059/0624/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength76%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/20257th4/179%33%-0.46
19/02/20265th125/10%0%0.00
18/04/20268th28/10%56%+0.56
07/05/20263rd9/276%80%+0.04
20/05/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
28/05/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
09/06/20263rd7/282%60%-0.22
10/06/20264th5/287%40%-0.47
24/07/202611th20/10%41%+0.41