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13

Saxon Prince

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 60

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Get Racing Bet Builder Winnings Boosts' Handicap · 7f 50y

#12

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who displayed fair form at best on all-weather for Clive Cox. Not yet threatened in 2 outings for present yard. though, gelded prior to finishing ninth of 14 at Newcastle (6f) 12 days ago. Steps back up in trip with tongue tie retained and market can likely prove best guide.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 30/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 4f215y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS30/1055 @ Southwell 20/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 4f214y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Southwell 19/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS19/1255 @ Kempton 19/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 67 · 6f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/01/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Kempton 02/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 65 · 7f Sta 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 65 par2/035OR 656 @ Ripon 16/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 65 · 1m GS 135 · beat its mark16/04/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Newcastle 25/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 64 · 7f14y Sta 134 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 64 par25/066OR 645 @ Newcastle 05/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 63 · 6f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 63 par5/095OR 63projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Newcastle59th8th+1
2026-06-25Newcastle610th10th0
2026-04-16Ripon66th6th0
2026-03-02Kempton52nd1st+1
2026-01-19Kempton55th4th+1
2025-12-19Southwell56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1019/0125/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength23%

Delivery trend +8.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/20253rd7/282%50%-0.32
20/11/20255th11/486%50%-0.36
19/12/20256th7/282%29%-0.53
19/01/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
02/03/20262nd13/266%67%+0.01
16/04/20266th11/271%50%-0.21
25/06/202610th12/137%25%-0.12
05/09/20269th40/10%38%+0.38