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Vince Le Prince

6yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 64

Ayr · Ladbrokes 'Get Racing Bet Builder Winnings Boosts' Handicap · 7f 50y

#4

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Without a win since 2024 but lines up here on a workable mark and he made the frame again in refitted blinkers (retained) when fourth at Musselburgh (7f, good to firm) last week. Forecast easier ground in his favour and he's in with a shout returned to class 6 company.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength69%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Redcar 07/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 68 · 7f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/05/2026 · OR 68 par7/055OR 685 @ Carlisle 18/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 68 · 6f195y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Catterick 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 67 · 7f6y GS 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/06/2026 · OR 67 par11/065OR 675 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 66 · 7f Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 66 par6 @ Catterick 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 64 · 7f6y GF 139 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 64 par22/076OR 644 @ Redcar 08/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 66 · 7f219y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Catterick 17/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 65 · 7f6y Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 65 par17/085OR 656 @ Musselburgh 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 65 · 7f15y Gd 135 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Musselburgh 12/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 64 · 7f15y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 64 par12/095OR 64projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Musselburgh54th3rd+1
2026-08-25Musselburgh63rd3rd0
2026-08-17Catterick53rd2nd+1
2026-08-08Redcar411th9th+2
2026-07-22Catterick62nd2nd0
2026-07-01Thirsk510th9th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/051/0717/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength83%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/05/20267th4/179%14%-0.65
18/05/20265th8/158%56%-0.02
11/06/20263rd2/189%60%-0.29
01/07/202610th6/168%0%-0.68
22/07/20262nd10/382%86%+0.03
08/08/202611th40/10%23%+0.23
17/08/20263rd11/486%75%-0.11
25/08/20263rd15/261%78%+0.17
12/09/20264th4/179%67%-0.12