5
Big Mo Gee
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 65
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength18%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 18/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |