2
Fungo Fungo
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 54
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-29 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Charles Town | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/12/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 18/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |