1
Super Lino
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 63
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 4f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/12/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 04/01/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 26/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |