Sina
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 74
Churchill Downs · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 0th | +5 |
| 2025-08-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-06-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -22.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 1/5 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 30/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |