7

Bridgesong

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 85

Churchill Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength77%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 07/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS7/02C6C6 @ Gulfstream 28/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 95 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 95 par28/03C6OR 95C6 @ Churchill Downs 01/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 99 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 99 par1/05C6OR 99C6 @ Churchill Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 77 · 1m1f Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 77 par6/06C6OR 77C6 @ Churchill Downs 27/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 81 · 6f110y Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 81 par27/06C6OR 81C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 77 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 77 par14/07C6OR 77C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 85 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 85 par6/08C6OR 85projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th4th+3
2026-07-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th1st+3
2026-06-27Churchill Downs?7th4th+3
2026-06-06Churchill Downs?11th8th+3
2026-05-01Churchill Downs?12th9th+3
2026-03-28Gulfstream?8th5th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/026/066/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength19%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/02/20264th25/10%67%+0.67
28/03/20268th10/382%0%-0.82
01/05/202612th15/261%0%-0.61
06/06/202611th20/10%9%+0.09
27/06/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
14/07/20264th9/276%50%-0.26
06/08/20267th14/126%45%+0.19