Hey Dey
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 92
Churchill Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-03-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-03-01 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-02-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 09/05/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |