Ingleborough
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 86
Churchill Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-03-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -15.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 17/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |