Money Man
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 84
Churchill Downs · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-01-22 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-11-20 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-10-22 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 22/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 22/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 20/11/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 22/01/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |