No Bien Ni Mal
6yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 113
Churchill Downs · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Churchill Downs | BHA113 | 4th | 11th | −6 |
| 2025-08-10 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-01-06 | Maronas | ? | 4th | -2th | +5 |
| 2024-06-17 | Gavea | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2024 | 1st | 1/5 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 06/01/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 10/08/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |