Curlene's Spirit
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 75
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 10/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 24/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 86% | -0.09 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 23/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |