2

Endless Glow
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 63
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Penn National | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-07-09 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-20 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2024 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 18/01/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 14/03/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 20/05/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 83% | -0.13 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 10/11 | 95% | 25% | -0.70 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |