8
Half A Deck
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 73
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2025-10-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 18/09/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/10/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 02/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |