1
Gangly
9yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 90
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 17/01/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |