3
Whiting Field
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 89
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 11/04/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 21/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |