9

Golden Faith

2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 77

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Colonial Downs 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f110y 11921/08C9C9 @ Colonial Downs 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 80 par4/09C9OR 80projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Colonial Downs?3rd6th3
2026-08-21Colonial Downs?2nd5th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength37%

Delivery trend -19.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20262nd2/189%83%-0.06
04/09/20263rd8/1397%71%-0.25