10

Tizoc

2yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 80

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

88%

Place Prob

50%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 04/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 5f110y 1194/09C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Colonial Downs?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength53%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20263rd6/492%50%-0.42