Canuto
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 96
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 29/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |