Charlie Mac Mac
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 89
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 21/09/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 23/01/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |