Guapo Again
8yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 92
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |