3
Kerness K
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 101
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
80%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 3/10 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |